Following the high-speed, 1.5-mile quad-oval of Texas Motor Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to the 0.5-mile short Trail of Bristol Motor Speedway.
Two weeks after another short track in Martinsville, tempers could be short this week and oddsmakers have Kyle Busch keeping his nose clean as a +260 favorite.
BetOnline has Busch as the favored at +260 followed by Kyle Larson in +700, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano in +800, and Kevin Harvick and Ryan Blaney in +1200 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Chevrolet has just won two of the last 11 races at Bristol Motor Speedway, while Ford and Toyota split another nine runnings, with Toyota catching five checkered flags and Ford four.
The winner of the race has qualified on the pole in 3 of the last eight runnings.
The Busch brothers have won all the previous few races in Bristol with Kurt winning the August running last year and Kyle winning the past two. In general, the two have combined for 13 wins in this course.
Kurt Busch (+1600) has won six of his 36 career starts at Bristol, including four of the first seven. The Nevada native won the last running at this course last August but has finished outside the top 10 in 10 of the last 15 races at Bristol.
Kyle Busch (+260) has driven to victory lane seven times at Bristol in 27 career starts, including two of those previous three. However, he’s crashed in four of the last eight races . He has directed 100 or more laps at four of the last seven runnings at the 0.5-mile track.
I would stay away from Brad Keselowski (+800) although he drove to victory lane at Martinsville two weeks ago. The Michigan native has finished outside the top 10 in six consecutive races at Bristol and has just led in among these runnings for a total of 67 laps.
Chase Elliott (+1500) is a sleeper pick for this particular race. The Georgia native finished fourth in his first start there in 2016 and landed on the podium in the previous running, including leading 112 laps. From a value standpoint he is not a poor bet, finishing in the top five in two of his six starts at Bristol.
My Very Best Option for the Food City 500
Kyle Busch (+260)
Not a fascinating pick this week, but the Nevada native has won 25.9 percent of his 27 career starts at Bristol and has finished within the top five in 37.0 percentage of these looks. Busch also includes two wins already this season to go along with four point wins. Finally, he has directed 100 or even more laps at this course in four of the previous seven runnings.
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